Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Feed Home
🤖🔭
AI Benchmarking
🇺🇸
2024 US Election Hub
Topics
🗳️
US Elections
✨🔝
Top Questions
⏳🌀
5 Years After AGI
🦠🩺
Mpox outbreak
🕊️🌐
Global Elections
🇮🇱🇵🇸
Gaza Conflict
🐦🦠
H5N1 Bird Flu
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
categories
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
🧬
Health & Pandemics
🌎
Environment & Climate
☣️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
When will any country have a life expectancy at birth for both sexes of at least 100 years?
2062-08-05
28
8 comments
8
Before 2070, Will there be a civil war in a country that, in January 2022, had a median age above 30?
80%
9
23 comments
23
Will a civil war break out in a country with median age above 30 before 2070?
85%
5
4 comments
4
If these countries are attacked by a nuclear weapon by 2030, how many cities in that country will be offensively attacked?
India
2.61
China
12.8
Israel
2.3
5 others
1
5 comments
5
Nuclear Risk Horizons Project