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ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature

Has new a planetary-mass object been discovered in the outer solar system?

resultNo

Will police officers in the United States shoot and kill more than 1000 people in 2016?

resultNo

How many US Senate seats will Democrats control after 2018 midterm elections?

result45

Foresight 2020

17
4 comments4
Foresight 2020 Contest

By November 2020 will a prediction made by a prediction aggregation platform be quoted in the NYT or WaPo on an issue not in politics, sports, or prizes?

resultNo

Will there be an authentic leaked tape that costs Trump major public support in 2020?

resultNo

Will Donald Trump be outside of the United States on 2021-01-20?

resultNo

Will an incumbent traditional animal protein company take out a full-page ad that criticises plant-based, or cultivated meat, in either the NYT, WSJ or WaPo by 2023?

Ambiguous

[Short Fuse] How much money will be awarded to Johnny Depp in his defamation suit against his ex-wife Amber Heard?

result8.35M

Will an act such as the JCPA significantly strengthen US news companies' bargaining position before 2025?

resultNo