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Foresight 2020
17
4 comments
4
Foresight 2020 Contest
Will an act such as the JCPA significantly strengthen US news companies' bargaining position before 2025?
25%
4
14 comments
14
A public prediction by Matthew Yglesias
no comments
0
Matthew Yglesias
Metaculus Year in Review: 2022
no comments
0
Programs
condition
2024 US election considered fraudulent?
if yes
if no
Civil Unrest or Rioting in US Before 2031?
55%
55%
Civil Unrest or Rioting in US Before 2031?
25%
25%
4
3 comments
3
condition
2024 US election considered fraudulent?
if yes
if no
Faithless electors in US 2024 Election?
50%
50%
Faithless electors in US 2024 Election?
45%
45%
no comments
0
Conditional Cup
Has new a planetary-mass object been discovered in the outer solar system?
Resolved :
No
9
2 comments
2
Will police officers in the United States shoot and kill more than 1000 people in 2016?
Resolved :
No
5
7 comments
7
How many US Senate seats will Democrats control after 2018 midterm elections?
Resolved :
45
17
19 comments
19
By November 2020 will a prediction made by a prediction aggregation platform be quoted in the NYT or WaPo on an issue not in politics, sports, or prizes?
Resolved :
No
21
37 comments
37
Foresight 2020 Contest
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