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Will there be a successful seasteading venture with at least 100 participants before 2035?
15%
13
no comments
0
How many parties will the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership have on December 31, 2030?
12
2
6 comments
6
Will the following countries experience a civil war before 2036?
Sudan
Yes
Niger
65%
Democratic Republic of Congo
60%
52 others
29
208 comments
208
Which of these nations will experience a successful coup d'etat before 2040?
Haiti
70%
Mali
68%
Libya
60%
70 others
19
59 comments
59
Forecasting Civil Wars in the Modern World
2
no comments
0
Metaculus Journal
When will legal international trade in recreational cannabis take place?
2029-11-04
2 comments
2
Will controlled AI chips be smuggled into China through any of the following countries before 2026?
Taiwan
73.1%
Singapore
70.5%
Vietnam
70%
9 others
6
6 comments
6
Chinese AI Chips
[closed] How many human infections of the 2019 novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) will be estimated to occur before 2021?
Resolved :
Above upper bound
14
95 comments
95
Will the CDC issue a Level 3 Travel Health Notice for Thailand by May 1?
Resolved :
Yes
9
23 comments
23
Li Wenliang Forecasting Tournament
How many total confirmed cases of novel coronavirus will be reported in the WHO South-East Asia Region by March 27?
Resolved :
9.34M
6
16 comments
16
Li Wenliang Forecasting Tournament
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