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Will 3 mainstream American news outlets report that a rebel group perpetrated the 2013 Ghouta Chemical Attack before August 21, 2033?
45%
9
23 comments
23
Which countries will be the subject of NATO action under Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty, if NATO takes Article 5 action before 2040?
United States
33.4%
Latvia
32%
Poland
30%
9 others
8
8 comments
8
Will state-based conflict between Israel and Iran cause at least 1,000 deaths before 2025?
12%
22
63 comments
63
Israel-Gaza Conflict
Will there be 1000 or more deaths due to armed conflict between Israel and Hezbollah before 2025?
87%
13
46 comments
46
Israel-Gaza Conflict
Will three or more United Nations Security Council resolutions be vetoed in 2021?
Resolved :
No
7
12 comments
12
What will be the number of conflicts with significant impacts on U.S. interests by 2023?
Resolved :
11
3
8 comments
8
Which countries will invoke Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty, if it's invoked before 2040?
Poland
Ambiguous
Latvia
Ambiguous
Lithuania
Ambiguous
9 others
9
40 comments
40