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ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature

First human head transplant in 2017?

resultNo

First attempted human head transplant by end of 2020?

resultNo

When will the first organ from a non-primate be successfully transplanted into a human?

result06 Feb 2022 08:00

Will someone report to have received a hemispherectomy for the purpose of life extension before 2100?

20%chance

When will it become possible to transplant organs without the recipient needing immunosuppressant drugs?

25 Jan 2030

When will the FDA or EMA first approve a drug for the treatment of obesity that causes >25% weight loss?

07 Dec 2028

The Promise and Impact of the Next Generation of Weight Loss Drugs

19
1 comment1
Metaculus Journal Archives

What percentage of the US population will have been diagnosed with myopia/nearsightedness in 2050?

57.2%

When will it be possible to continue one's growth after their growth plates have closed?

Oct 2073

When will the first fully autonomous surgery or procedure be performed on a human?

Aug 2032