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Will someone report to have received a hemispherectomy for the purpose of life extension before 2100?
23%
2
6 comments
6
When will it become possible to transplant organs without the recipient needing immunosuppressant drugs?
2029-06-26
9
25 comments
25
When will the FDA or EMA first approve a drug for the treatment of obesity that causes >25% weight loss?
2028-12-07
4
3 comments
3
The Promise and Impact of the Next Generation of Weight Loss Drugs
19
1 comment
1
Metaculus Journal
What percentage of the US population will have been diagnosed with myopia/nearsightedness in 2050?
57.1
7
2 comments
2
When will it be possible to continue one's growth after their growth plates have closed?
2061-12-17
8
14 comments
14
When will the first fully autonomous surgery or procedure be performed on a human?
2032-03-23
14
4 comments
4
AI Demonstrations
By what date will an AI system demonstrate human-level accuracy in extracting data from all types of charts in documents?
2025-08-25
2
5 comments
5
Will the U.S. FDA approve induced pluripotent stem cells for treatment of any medical condition before 2031?
24%
3
11 comments
11
First human head transplant in 2017?
Resolved :
No
7
13 comments
13
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