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Will Nigeria have a coup before 2025?
2%
12
17 comments
17
Will the following countries experience a civil war before 2036?
Sudan
Yes
Niger
65%
Democratic Republic of Congo
60%
52 others
29
208 comments
208
Will Saudi Arabia establish diplomatic relations with Israel before January 20, 2025?
4%
19
39 comments
39
Israel-Gaza Conflict
Forecasting Civil Wars in the Modern World
2
no comments
0
Metaculus Journal
How many countries will become UN member states before 2075?
≥ 7
16%
4
15.5%
3
15%
5 others
5
11 comments
11
Which faction in the Sudanese civil war will come out as the victor?
Rapid Support Forces (RSF)
48%
Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF)
40%
Another outcome
18%
6
1 comment
1
How many total confirmed cases of novel coronavirus will be reported in the WHO East Mediterranean region by March 27?
Resolved :
150k
5
24 comments
24
Li Wenliang Forecasting Tournament
Global support and side-flipping on China's Uyghur policies in Xinjiang by 2023?
Resolved :
-28
15
20 comments
20
Will Niger experience a coup before 2023?
Resolved :
No
2
5 comments
5
How many FAO domestic food price warnings in spring 2023?
Resolved :
16
2
6 comments
6
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