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Before 2070, Will there be a civil war in a country that, in January 2022, had a median age above 30?
80%
9
23 comments
23
Will the following countries experience a civil war before 2036?
Sudan
Yes
Niger
65%
Democratic Republic of Congo
60%
52 others
29
208 comments
208
Forecasting Civil Wars in the Modern World
2
no comments
0
Metaculus Journal
Forecast Factors: Drivers of Birth Rates in the Modern World
4
16 comments
16
Metaculus Journal
Will controlled AI chips be smuggled into China through any of the following countries before 2026?
Taiwan
73.1%
Singapore
70.5%
Vietnam
70%
9 others
6
6 comments
6
Chinese AI Chips
How many total confirmed cases of novel coronavirus will be reported in the WHO South-East Asia Region by March 27?
Resolved :
9.34M
6
16 comments
16
Li Wenliang Forecasting Tournament
How many FAO domestic food price warnings in spring 2023?
Resolved :
16
2
6 comments
6
Will Gotabaya Rajapaksa no longer be the President of Sri Lanka before 2023?
Resolved :
Yes
6
28 comments
28
Verity
Horizon Scan: How many people will be forcibly displaced in these countries in 2022?
Azerbaijan
2.07M
Haiti
1.03M
Sri Lanka
2.29M
4 others
10
7 comments
7
Humanitarian Conflict & Economic Risk