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First commercial crewed spaceflight by September 2018?

resultNo

Will humans have a sustainable off-world presence by 2100?

33%chance

When will the 10,000th human reach space?

Sep 2050

When will Blue Origin send a paying customer to space?

result20 Jul 2021 09:22

Spacecraft Launchers and the Launcher Market

12
no comments0
Metaculus Journal Archives

How many people will be in space on April 12, 2030?

24.8
people

What percent of the total rockets launched into space in each year will have been reused?

What will be the maximum number of on-Earth reuses for a single booster or other rocket stage in the following years?

What will be the largest payload capacity (in tons) of a successfully reused launch vehicle in the following years?