Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
ๆ
Feed Home
๐ค๐ญ
AI Benchmarking
๐บ๐ธ
2024 US Election Hub
Topics
๐ณ๏ธ
US Elections
โจ๐
Top Questions
โณ๐
5 Years After AGI
๐ฆ ๐ฉบ
Mpox outbreak
๐๏ธ๐
Global Elections
๐ฎ๐ฑ๐ต๐ธ
Gaza Conflict
๐ฆ๐ฆ
H5N1 Bird Flu
๐บ๐ฆโ๏ธ
Ukraine Conflict
categories
๐ค
Artificial Intelligence
๐งฌ
Health & Pandemics
๐
Environment & Climate
โฃ๏ธ
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
When will a fifth nation launch a person into space?
2029-12-24
11
7 comments
7
Ragnarรถk Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to nuclear war?
27%
28
15 comments
15
Ragnarรถk Series
Will there be a "World War Three" before 2050?
30%
147
236 comments
236
Erik Hoel's 2050 Predictions Series
When will North Korea have a McDonald's?
2045-08-07
21
12 comments
12
When will the first human mission to Venus take place?
2070-12-17
17
10 comments
10
Will there be an AI Sputnik moment before 2050?
95%
20
37 comments
37
Public Perception of AI
Which country will be the first to administer more territory off Earth than on it?
United States
52%
China
32%
Israel
8%
6 others
16
42 comments
42
Will there be 10 or more nuclear-armed states at any time before 2035?
72%
4
4 comments
4
Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
Population Crashes: The Deadliest Events In History
8
no comments
0
Metaculus Journal
Overall, has nuclear risk risen or fallen in the last three decades, and will it rise or fall over the next three decades?
no comments
0
Szilard Fortified Essay Contest
Load more