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ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature

Pandemic series: a bioterror attack against crops or livestock by 2020?

resultNo

Will Russia expand by means of armed conflict before 2020?

resultNo

When will a fifth nation launch a person into space?

04 Jun 2030

When will India send their first own astronauts to space?

This question is closed for forecasting. Latest Community prediction is displayed.

05 Aug 2024

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to nuclear war?

22%chance

Will there be a "World War Three" before 2050?

Key Factor

All five geographical regions defined by SIPRI saw rises in military spending for the first time since 2009, with Europe, the Middle East, Asia, and Oceania recording particularly large increases.

21%chance

Key Factor

All five geographical regions defined by SIPRI saw rises in military spending for the first time since 2009, with Europe, the Middle East, Asia, and Oceania recording particularly large increases.

When will North Korea have a McDonald's?

Jul 2045

If Lesswrong holds a similar Petrov Day event in 2021, will the "red button" be pressed?

resultNo

When will the first human mission to Venus take place?

May 2071

Will there be an AI Sputnik moment before 2050?

95%chance