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Angela Merkel re-elected as Chancellor of Germany?

Ambiguous

How many countries will be awarded a B or better for farm animal welfare protection by to the Animal Protection Index by end of 2022?

resultLess than 5

In second edition of the Animal Protection Index how many countries will be listed with B or A grades on the indicator for "Formal Recognition of Animal Sentience"?

result8

What will the global weighted-average levelized cost of energy of onshore wind be in 2020, in 2018 USD per kWh?

result0.04

What will the global weighted-average levelized cost of energy of onshore wind be in 2022, in 2018 USD per kWh?

result0.0283

Will Free Greens gain any seats in the next Danish general election?

resultNo

The 20/20 Insight Forecasting Contest

18
48 comments48
20/20 Insight Forecasting Contest

On 1 January 2021, will the rate of new confirmed deaths per million from COVID-19 in Sweden be higher than Denmark?

resultYes

Will a new variant of SARS-COV-2 that, due to a mutation, can infect people who had immunity to a previous variant, cause more than 10M infections globally by the end of 2021?

resultYes

Will Moderna, Pfizer/BioNTech, or Oxford/AstraZeneca start producing an updated vaccine targeting a SARS-CoV-2 variant before 2023?

resultYes