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When will there be a mile-high building?
2043-10-04
15
15 comments
15
What will be the value of the SSE Index on January 1, 2030?
4.73k
3
no comments
0
Will chips covered by the 2022 US export controls be exported to China before the following dates?
2032
60%
2026
40%
2024
5%
5
6 comments
6
Regulation of AI
Will a Chinese firm market an ArFi photolithography machine before 2025?
20%
9
9 comments
9
Chinese AI Chips
Will a Chinese-made ArFi lithography machine be used in volume production anywhere before 2028?
60%
7
1 comment
1
Chinese AI Chips
Will a Chinese firm market an EUV photolithography machine before 2033?
83%
11
1 comment
1
Chinese AI Chips
Will the following Chinese SME firms have a higher market cap than any of ASML, Applied Materials, or Lam Research in 2033?
Naura
24%
AMEC
23.5%
SMEE
21.1%
1 other
7
1 comment
1
Chinese AI Chips
Will a Chinese fab have a volume production process that uses EUV photolithography before 2033?
80%
11
1 comment
1
Chinese AI Chips
Will the Shanghai (SSE) Composite Index go up over 2024?
45%
10
10 comments
10
ACX 2024 Prediction Contest
condition
Chinese volume production using EUV by 2033?
if yes
if no
Chinese GDP Greater than US by 2041?
50%
50%
Chinese GDP Greater than US by 2041?
50%
50%
1
2 comments
2
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