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Will Ukraine lose non-Crimean territory by February 2029, compared to 2013?
98%
8
15 comments
15
condition
2024 US Presidential Election Winner? (Donald Trump)
if yes
if no
Ukrainian territory lost in 2029?
90%
90%
Ukrainian territory lost in 2029?
73%
73%
5
no comments
0
Will Ukraine join the Union State before 2023?
Resolved :
No
16
25 comments
25
Ukraine Conflict
Will Ukraine have de facto control of Sevastopol on January 1, 2024?
Resolved :
No
21
114 comments
114
Ukraine Conflict
If Russia detonates a nuclear device offensively before 2024, which cities will be ongoing battlegrounds at that time?
Sevastopol
Annulled
Luhansk city
Annulled
Dzhankoi
Annulled
8 others
15
20 comments
20
Red Lines in Ukraine
Will Ukraine regain control of at least 50 km^2 of the Crimean Peninsula?
Resolved :
Above upper bound
10
10 comments
10
Red Lines in Ukraine
Depending on Ukraine gaining territory in Crimea, will Russia use nuclear weapons against Ukraine before 2024?
< 50 km^2
No
> 50 km^2
Ambiguous
8
13 comments
13
Red Lines in Ukraine
On January 1, 2024, will Ukraine control the city of Sevastopol?
Resolved :
No
11
8 comments
8
ACX 2023 Prediction Contest