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Will an AI system do credibly well on a full math SAT exam by 2025?

This question is closed for forecasting. Latest Community prediction is displayed.

70%chance

What percentage of top colleges in the United States will not require the SAT or ACT for freshman admittance in 2030?

72.6%

What will be the best non-human SAT-style score on the hard subset of the QuALITY dataset by January 1, 2025?

result69.7

What will be the best non-human SAT-style score on the hard subset of the QuALITY dataset by January 1, 2030?

97%

What will be the best non-human SAT-style score on the hard subset of the QuALITY dataset by January 1, 2040?

98.2%

Predicting Polygenic Selection for IQ

14
6 comments6
Metaculus Journal Archives

What will the Metaculus Community Prediction bias on the next 20 AI benchmark questions be?

This question is closed for forecasting. Latest Community prediction is displayed.

0.499