Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Feed Home
🤖🔭
AI Benchmarking
🇺🇸
2024 US Election Hub
Topics
🗳️
US Elections
✨🔝
Top Questions
⏳🌀
5 Years After AGI
🦠🩺
Mpox outbreak
🕊️🌐
Global Elections
🇮🇱🇵🇸
Gaza Conflict
🐦🦠
H5N1 Bird Flu
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
categories
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
🧬
Health & Pandemics
🌎
Environment & Climate
☣️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
Who will be elected US President in 2024?
Kamala Harris
55%
Donald Trump
45%
Joe Biden
1%
17 others
272
2.6k comments
2.6k
Will Ron DeSantis become US president by 2029?
2%
11
18 comments
18
condition
Donald Trump as Third-Party Candidate 2024?
if yes
if no
Democrat Wins 2024 US Presidential Election?
88%
88%
Democrat Wins 2024 US Presidential Election?
52%
52%
20
7 comments
7
If these candidates are nominated, will they win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Kamala Harris (D)
54.7%
Donald Trump (R)
48%
Nikki Haley (R)
40%
17 others
20
66 comments
66
Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day?
J.D. Vance
99%
Doug Burgum
0.3%
Glenn Youngkin
0.1%
26 others
23
240 comments
240
If inaugurated as President in 2025, will these 2024 presidential candidates complete a full four-year term?
Kamala Harris
96%
Nikki Haley
95%
Ron DeSantis
95%
5 others
6
11 comments
11
Will Ron DeSantis be re-elected as Governor of Florida in 2022?
Resolved :
Yes
11
13 comments
13
Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Donald Trump
Yes
Nikki Haley
No
Ron DeSantis
No
14 others
51
427 comments
427
On January 1, 2024, will prediction markets say Ron DeSantis is the most likely Republican nominee for President in 2024?
Resolved :
No
5
7 comments
7
ACX 2023 Prediction Contest
condition
Trump Removed or Blocked From Primary Ballot?
Resolved :
No
if yes
if no
2024 Republican Presidential Nominee? (Donald Trump)
98%
98%
Resolved :
Annulled
2024 Republican Presidential Nominee? (Donald Trump)
99%
99%
Resolved :
Yes
5
8 comments
8
Conditional Cup
Load more