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Which countries will be the subject of NATO action under Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty, if NATO takes Article 5 action before 2040?
United States
33.4%
Latvia
32%
Poland
30%
9 others
8
8 comments
8
How many months in prison will Andrew Tate be sentenced to before 2026?
62
2
2 comments
2
Will the following countries experience a civil war before 2036?
Sudan
Yes
Niger
65%
Democratic Republic of Congo
60%
52 others
29
208 comments
208
When will the following countries have open borders with all Schengen Area members?
Turkey
Jan 11, 2035
Ukraine
Jan 11, 2035
Georgia
Jan 11, 2035
15 others
3
1 comment
1
Which of these nations will experience a successful coup d'etat before 2040?
Haiti
70%
Mali
68%
Libya
60%
70 others
19
59 comments
59
Forecasting Civil Wars in the Modern World
2
no comments
0
Metaculus Journal
Will the Extreme Light Infrastructure facility come online as planned in 2018?
Resolved :
No
2
2 comments
2
Will the INF treaty functionally continue past 2025?
Resolved :
No
3
41 comments
41
How many countries will be awarded a B or better for farm animal welfare protection by to the Animal Protection Index by end of 2022?
Resolved :
Below lower bound
2
8 comments
8
Animal Welfare Series
By December 31, 2022, will at least 10,000 US troops move into Ukraine?
Resolved :
No
15
7 comments
7
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