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Will a U.S. Presidentโs State of the Union address mention the issue of AI existential risk before the listed year?
2040
66.7%
2030
41%
2025
No
7
14 comments
14
Future of AI
Who will be the next leader of the UK Conservative Party?
Resolved :
5
4
28 comments
28
Will the UK government succeed in reducing its commitment to spend 0.7% of GNI on International aid?
Resolved :
Ambiguous
9
18 comments
18
Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election?
Liz Truss
Yes
Suella Braverman
No
Tom Tugendhat
No
13 others
22
141 comments
141
Will the party led by X form the first government after the next UK election?
K. Starmer (Labour)
Yes
W. Streeting (Labour)
Annulled
A. Burham (Labour)
Annulled
14 others
8
32 comments
32
What will inflation in the UK be, given Rishi Sunak wins the Conservative Party leadership candidate contest?
2022
Ambiguous
2023
Ambiguous
2024
Ambiguous
1 other
4
2 comments
2
What will the GDP of the UK be (in billions GBP), given Rishi Sunak wins the Conservative Party leadership contest?
2040
Ambiguous
2025
Ambiguous
2023
Ambiguous
2 others
5
5 comments
5
Who will be the next leader of the UK Conservative Party?
Rishi Sunak
Yes
Grant Shapps
No
Penny Mourdant
No
5 others
19
93 comments
93
On January 1, 2024, will Rishi Sunak be Prime Minister of the UK?
Resolved :
Yes
8
6 comments
6
ACX 2023 Prediction Contest
Will there be more than 10 ministerial resignations in Rishi Sunakโs government before 2024?
Resolved :
No
2
10 comments
10
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