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Will the People's Republic of China control at least half of Taiwan before 2050?
32%
104
199 comments
199
The Taiwan Tinderbox
How many UN member states will formally recognize Taiwan at the end of 2025?
11.7
5
13 comments
13
If Taiwan declares independence by 2035, will the United States appoint an ambassador within a year?
41%
2
9 comments
9
Will Taiwan/Republic of China declare independence by 2035?
20%
16
10 comments
10
The Taiwan Tinderbox
condition
Chinese Invasion of Taiwan? (2030)
if yes
if no
Chinese GDP Greater than US by 2041?
31%
31%
Chinese GDP Greater than US by 2041?
41%
41%
4
no comments
0
The Taiwan Tinderbox
condition
US Iran War Before 2025?
if yes
if no
Chinese Invasion of Taiwan? (2030)
56%
56%
Chinese Invasion of Taiwan? (2030)
30%
30%
5
1 comment
1
Israel-Gaza Conflict
condition
Chinese Invasion of Taiwan? (2030)
if yes
if no
US : China Number of ML Systems (2030)
2.34
US : China Number of ML Systems (2030)
3.07
2
2 comments
2
The Taiwan Tinderbox