Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Feed Home
🤖🔭
AI Benchmarking
🇺🇸
2024 US Election Hub
Topics
🗳️
US Elections
✨🔝
Top Questions
⏳🌀
5 Years After AGI
🦠🩺
Mpox outbreak
🕊️🌐
Global Elections
🇮🇱🇵🇸
Gaza Conflict
🐦🦠
H5N1 Bird Flu
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
categories
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
🧬
Health & Pandemics
🌎
Environment & Climate
☣️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
Will a sample of negative energy be produced by 2100?
5%
21
8 comments
8
New and improved tachyon powers
9
25 comments
25
Metaculus Meta
Will most protons that currently make up Earth (and you) eventually decay?
44%
6
4 comments
4
Track record page improvement suggestions
8
32 comments
32
Metaculus Meta
When will a quantum computer running Shor's algorithm (or a similar one) be used to factor one of the RSA numbers for the first time?
2040-11-23
22
17 comments
17
Will a reliable poll of physicists reveal that a majority of those polled accept the many-worlds interpretation by 2050?
38%
11
8 comments
8
What will be the mass in eV of the next fundamental particle to be discovered?
2.7e13
8
9 comments
9
When will it cost less than $1000 to calculate the private key of a 2048-bit RSA public key?
2045-08-21
18
18 comments
18
Will AES-256 be publicly broken by 2040?
5%
23
29 comments
29
Will lepton universality be falsified before 2026?
18%
8
6 comments
6
Load more