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When will a quantum computer running Shor's algorithm (or a similar one) be used to factor one of the RSA numbers for the first time?
2040-11-23
22
17 comments
17
When will it cost less than $1000 to calculate the private key of a 2048-bit RSA public key?
2045-08-21
18
18 comments
18
Elliptic Curves, Diophantine Equations, and Cryptography
12
no comments
0
Quantum-enhanced machine learning by 2040?
62%
7
17 comments
17
What if Mooreโs Law breaks ?
3
9 comments
9
AI Progress Essay Contest
Leverage AI-centric to AGI and ASI-centric beyond Moore's Law
no comments
0
AI Progress Essay Contest
Will we be able to tolerate a 5% physical error rate in quantum computing by 2032?
25%
6
3 comments
3
What will be the record for log quantum volume over the next five years?
2024:
4
7 comments
7
What will be the "state of the art" for these quantum computing metrics in March, 2028?
2-qubit gate infidelity
2.05e-4
Single-qubit relaxation time (T1) (ฮผs)
380M
Coherence time (T2) (seconds)
91.7
3
4 comments
4
Will a Fields medalist have spent at least a year trying AI safety research before the following years?
2036
19%
2030
13.8%
2026
2%
6
no comments
0
Future of AI
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