Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Feed Home
🤖🔭
AI Benchmarking
🇺🇸
2024 US Election Hub
Topics
🗳️
US Elections
✨🔝
Top Questions
⏳🌀
5 Years After AGI
🦠🩺
Mpox outbreak
🕊️🌐
Global Elections
🇮🇱🇵🇸
Gaza Conflict
🐦🦠
H5N1 Bird Flu
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
categories
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
🧬
Health & Pandemics
🌎
Environment & Climate
☣️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
How many of the "priority paths" identified by 80,000hours will still be priority paths in 2030?
5.73
20
4 comments
4
What percentage of countries which pledge carbon neutrality by 2050 will keep their pledge?
44.2
5
7 comments
7
When will fossil fuels make up less than 50% of United States primary energy consumption?
2041-02-18
14
2 comments
2
Will the US federal government pass legislation by 2040 to provide universal healthcare for American citizens?
31%
11
23 comments
23
Verity
What will be the average preparation time (in days) of environmental impact statements completed in 2025?
1.53k
1
3 comments
3
Climate Tipping Points Round 2
Will the U.S. have passed legislation that requires cybersecurity around AI models before 2030?
83%
6
1 comment
1
Regulation of AI
Will the U.S. have passed legislation that requires cybersecurity around AI models before 2026?
54%
4
9 comments
9
Regulation of AI
Will 85% of Chrome users have cookies deprecated before June 2026?
35%
4
7 comments
7
Will there be a leading AI lab with no internal safety team in the following years?
2026
48.2%
2030
32%
2036
16%
9
2 comments
2
Future of AI
Metaculus Awarded $5.5M Grant to Advance Forecasting as a Public Good
no comments
0
Programs
Load more