• Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Services
  • News
  • Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Questions
  • Questions
Feed Home
👥
Communities
💎
Metaculus Cup
🤖
Q2 AI Benchmarking
🌍
USAID Outlook
🏛️
POTUS Predictions
💵
Fiscal Showdown
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
🐦🦠
H5N1 Bird Flu
🕊️🌐
Global Elections
⏳🌀
5 Years After AGI
🇮🇱🇵🇸
Gaza Conflict
🦠🩺
Mpox outbreak
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
categories
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
🧬
Health & Pandemics
🌎
Environment & Climate
☣️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
  • About
  • API
  • FAQ
  • forecasting resources
  • For Journalists
  • Contact
  • Careers
GuidelinesPrivacy PolicyTerms of Use
ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature

Announcing the Winners of the Q1 2025 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament

7
1 comment1
Q1 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament

Contribute to the Metaculus Cup

5
7 comments7
Metaculus Cup

What will the 2025 reconciliation bill set as the standard deduction for married couples filing jointly in tax year 2026?

Annulled$

Will the word "tariff" disappear from the front pages of The New York Times and Wall Street Journal before July 2025?

This question is closed for forecasting. Latest Community prediction is displayed.

Key Factor

June likely less tariff-focused than May

44%chance

Key Factor

June likely less tariff-focused than May

Will a new country be invited to BRICS at the 17th BRICS Summit?

Key Factor

soft power gained by inviting new members

Key Factor

soft power gained by inviting new members

Will advanced LIGO announce discovery of gravitational waves by Jan. 31 2016?

resultNo

Will SpaceX successfully land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge by February 28, 2016?

resultNo

Will we confirm evidence for megastructures orbiting the star KIC 8462852?

resultNo

Will Lockheed Martin and Skunkworks announce a successful test of a break-even compact fusion reactor by April 2019?

resultNo

The FAA to soon open the door to commercial use of unmanned aerial systems?

resultNo