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Will the United States withdraw from any of its current mutual defence treaties by 2030?
15%
8
4 comments
4
Will the following countries experience a civil war before 2036?
Sudan
Yes
Niger
65%
Democratic Republic of Congo
60%
52 others
29
208 comments
208
Which of these nations will experience a successful coup d'etat before 2040?
Haiti
70%
Mali
68%
Libya
60%
70 others
19
59 comments
59
Forecasting Civil Wars in the Modern World
2
no comments
0
Metaculus Journal
Global support and side-flipping on China's Uyghur policies in Xinjiang by 2023?
Resolved :
-28
15
20 comments
20