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ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature

How many total confirmed cases of novel coronavirus will be reported in the WHO Region of the Americas by March 27?

result81.137k

Will Pedro Castillo win the second round of the Peru 2021 presidential election?

resultYes

What will Peru's GDP per capita (PPP) be in 2030?

20.3k
Intl. $

How many FAO domestic food price warnings in spring 2023?

result16

Will octopus farms yield 3000 tonnes of octopuses in one year before 2026?

12%chance

Which of these nations will experience a successful coup d'etat before 2040?

Syria81%
Haiti70%
Mali61%
and 70 others

Forecasting Civil Wars in the Modern World

2
no comments0
Metaculus Journal Archives

Update: the variants vs. the vaccines

no comments0
condition

Human Transmission of H5N1 Before 2025?

Resolved:No
20 forecasters
if yes
if no

500k H5Nx influenza cases before 2025?

1%
1%
Resolved:Annulled

500k H5Nx influenza cases before 2025?

0%
0%
Resolved:No
1
no comments0
Conditional Cup