Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Feed Home
🤖🔭
AI Benchmarking
🇺🇸
2024 US Election Hub
Topics
🗳️
US Elections
✨🔝
Top Questions
⏳🌀
5 Years After AGI
🦠🩺
Mpox outbreak
🕊️🌐
Global Elections
🇮🇱🇵🇸
Gaza Conflict
🐦🦠
H5N1 Bird Flu
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
categories
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
🧬
Health & Pandemics
🌎
Environment & Climate
☣️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
What will Peru's GDP per capita (PPP) be in 2030?
20.9k
12
33 comments
33
Will octopus farms yield 3000 tonnes of octopuses in one year before 2026?
12%
9
8 comments
8
Animal Welfare Series
Which of these nations will experience a successful coup d'etat before 2040?
Haiti
70%
Mali
68%
Libya
60%
70 others
19
59 comments
59
Forecasting Civil Wars in the Modern World
2
no comments
0
Metaculus Journal
Update: the variants vs. the vaccines
no comments
0
Research
condition
Human Transmission of H5N1 Before 2025?
if yes
if no
500k H5Nx influenza cases before 2025?
7%
7%
500k H5Nx influenza cases before 2025?
0%
0%
1
no comments
0
Conditional Cup
How many total confirmed cases of novel coronavirus will be reported in the WHO Region of the Americas by March 27?
Resolved :
38.2M
6
17 comments
17
Li Wenliang Forecasting Tournament
Will Pedro Castillo win the second round of the Peru 2021 presidential election?
Resolved :
Yes
6
14 comments
14
How many FAO domestic food price warnings in spring 2023?
Resolved :
16
2
6 comments
6