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What will be the average overall Global Health Security Index score for 2030?

48.9
points

Will there be at least one fatality from nuclear detonation in North Korea by 2050, if any detonation occurs?

26%chance

What will be the total size of Open Philanthropy's 2022 grants in the nuclear risk area?

result505.25k

How many staff at EA orgs other than ALLFED will be primarily focused on nuclear risk in December 2022?

Annulled

Will a donor other than Carnegie or MacArthur make >$10m of nuclear risk related grants in 2022?

resultNo

Donating Tournament Prizes

6
1 comment1
Metaculus Meta

When will a benchtop DNA synthesizer be available for sale that can synthesize DNA with the following lengths?

00

How many benchtop DNA synthesizers will have been sold worldwide before 2030 that can synthesize DNA with the following base lengths?

5,000 basesAnnulled
1,000 bases107
5,000 bases71.4