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Has North Korea tested a boosted fission nuclear device?

resultNo

Will North Korea test-launch an ICBM by the end of 2018?

resultYes

Will any country that had nuclear weapons on July 1, 2017 give them up before 2035?

1%chance

Will North Korea attack another country by the end of 2020?

resultNo

Will the US take military action in N. Korea?

resultNo

Will a world war begin before 2151?

60%chance

Will the US launch a nuclear first-strike on N. Korea in 2018?

resultNo

How many missile test events will North Korea conduct in May 2018?

result0

Will Kim Jong-un meet the head of government from any G7 nation in-person before 15 June 2018?

resultYes

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to nuclear war?

22%chance