Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Feed Home
🤖🔭
AI Benchmarking
🇺🇸
2024 US Election Hub
Topics
🗳️
US Elections
✨🔝
Top Questions
⏳🌀
5 Years After AGI
🦠🩺
Mpox outbreak
🕊️🌐
Global Elections
🇮🇱🇵🇸
Gaza Conflict
🐦🦠
H5N1 Bird Flu
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
categories
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
🧬
Health & Pandemics
🌎
Environment & Climate
☣️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
Will an effort to coordinate foot voting intentionally move 10,000+ residents to a single American state by 2030?
26%
5
6 comments
6
"Foot Voting" Coordination Efforts
17
6 comments
6
Will New Hampshire remain the freest state in the United States, according to the Cato Institute, from 2023 to 2033?
34%
2
3 comments
3
Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states?
Iowa
98%
Alaska
98%
Ohio
96%
20 others
36
249 comments
249
If at least one US state secedes before 2071, which states will secede?
Texas
49%
California
33.3%
Florida
23.6%
47 others
8
30 comments
30
How many contests will Bernie Sanders win in the 2020 Democratic Primaries?
Resolved :
10
4
43 comments
43
Will Ghislaine Maxwell be alive on 1 January 2021?
Resolved :
Yes
39
70 comments
70
What will be the average partisan vote swing from 2020 to 2023 in state-level special elections held in the US before October 1, 2023?
Resolved :
6.6
3
6 comments
6
🏆 Q3 2023 Quarterly Cup 🏆
Will Donald Trump be removed or blocked from the primary election ballot of any U.S. state for a federal office under Section 3 of the 14th Amendment?
Resolved :
No
18
9 comments
9