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Will the cost of sequencing a human genome fall below $500 by mid 2016?

resultNo

Will Moore's Law end by 2025?

This question is closed for forecasting. Latest Community prediction is displayed.

58%chance

Will cost-adjusted IT technology be worse than it was 8 years (32 quarters) ago in at least one quarter prior to 2030?

This question is closed for forecasting. Latest Community prediction is displayed.

22%chance

What will the mean of the year-over-year growth rate of the sum of teraflops of the all 500 supercomputers in the TOP500 be, in the three year period ending in November 2023?

result37.96

What if Moore’s Law breaks ?

3
no comments0
AI Progress Essay Contest

Looking ahead to 2050: Charting scenarios without transformative AI

7
3 comments3
AI Progress Essay Contest

Leverage AI-centric to AGI and ASI-centric beyond Moore's Law

no comments0
AI Progress Essay Contest

Forecasting Our World in Data: The Next 100 Years

26
8 comments8