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A public prediction by Scott Alexander
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Scott Alexander
Will MDMA be FDA-approved for the treatment of PTSD before 2025?
4%
15
38 comments
38
Will stage-3 trials of MDMA as a medical treatment be completed, with results submitted to the FDA, by 2021?
Resolved :
No
21
8 comments
8
In the year ending in November 2nd, 2020, will the combined U.S. investment in psychedelics research and psychedelics-focused startups exceed $100M?
Resolved :
No
11
8 comments
8
Foresight 2020 Contest
Will any US state decriminalize or legalize a major psychedelic drug in 2022?
Resolved :
Yes
18
37 comments
37
2022 Scott Alexander predictions