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Solid metallic hydrogen: how much impact?

resultNo

Solid metallic hydrogen: will it superconduct at room temperature?

resultNo

Is solid metallic hydrogen metastable at room temperature?

resultNo

Will engineers create a material with a melting point higher than 4300K (and hence any other substance) by 2021?

resultNo

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to nanotechnology failure-mode?

2.5%chance

Will the first extraterrestrial life-forms we encounter be carbon-based?

82.6%chance

Will an ocean be fertilised with at least 50 tonnes of iron, as part of a single geoengineering effort, by the end of 2023?

resultNo

When will the volume-weighted average battery for electric vehicles and stationary storage reach $75 per kilowatt hour?

19 Jun 2027

When will the volume-weighted average battery for electric vehicles and stationary storage reach $100 per kilowatt hour?

result15 Jul 2024

When will a private fusion company first report a yearly profit?

Mar 2047