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ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature

Vaquita porpoise declared extinct before 2020?

resultNo

Will an ocean be fertilised with at least 50 tonnes of iron, as part of a single geoengineering effort, by the end of 2023?

resultNo

When will two or more supermarkets sell products made of ≥20% clean fish in their physical retail stores in at least 25 U.S. states?

15 Apr 2029

What is the largest amount of iron that will be used to fertilise an ocean as part of a single geoengineering effort, by the end of 2026?

49.9
tonnes

Will there turn out to be widespread fossils of algae and lichens on Mars?

3%chance

Will large scale solar radiation management be used to mitigate the effects of climate change in the 21st century?

45%chance

What will be the estimated population of blue whales in 2050?

27.6k
whales

Will octopus farms yield 3000 tonnes of octopuses in one year before 2026?

12%chance

What will be the average impact score, as judged in 2032, for achieving the milestone of reducing antibiotic resistance in strains of pathogenic bacteria by 90% in a high-density fish pond?

This question is closed for forecasting.
Latest Community predictions were:

Scientific Impact Score5.68
Social Impact Score5.49

Assuming the aquaculture FRO is funded by 2025, will the milestone of a 90% reduction in antibiotic resistance of a pathogenic bacteria in a 300 gallon aquarium be achieved before 2031?

This question is closed for forecasting. Latest Community prediction is displayed.

90%chance