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When (if ever) will a Manhattan/Apollo project toward AGI be launched?
2029-09-06
27
24 comments
24
Situational Awareness
50 years after the first AGI becomes publicly known, how many hours earlier will historical consensus determine it came online?
1.21k
17
19 comments
19
AGI Outcomes
Looking ahead to 2050: Charting scenarios without transformative AI
8
4 comments
4
AI Progress Essay Contest
Will the Doomsday Clock advance toward midnight at the end of this year?
Resolved :
Ambiguous
35
27 comments
27
How much interest will the 2021 US Government report on UAPs generate?
Resolved :
1.28
10
38 comments
38