Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Feed Home
🤖🔭
AI Benchmarking
🇺🇸
2024 US Election Hub
Topics
🗳️
US Elections
✨🔝
Top Questions
⏳🌀
5 Years After AGI
🦠🩺
Mpox outbreak
🕊️🌐
Global Elections
🇮🇱🇵🇸
Gaza Conflict
🐦🦠
H5N1 Bird Flu
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
categories
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
🧬
Health & Pandemics
🌎
Environment & Climate
☣️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
When will a West Balkan state next join the EU?
2029-11-23
9
9 comments
9
When will Serbia recognize Kosovo?
2043-11-29
4
7 comments
7
Will more than 500 combatants die as a result of an armed conflict in the Balkans by 2025?
4%
14
15 comments
15
When will the following countries have open borders with all Schengen Area members?
Turkey
Jan 11, 2035
Ukraine
Jan 11, 2035
Georgia
Jan 11, 2035
15 others
3
1 comment
1
Will the following countries be part of the European Union in 2050?
Montenegro
97%
North Macedonia
87.5%
Albania
80%
17 others
23
51 comments
51
Forecasting Civil Wars in the Modern World
2
no comments
0
Metaculus Journal
condition
US Iran War Before 2025?
if yes
if no
Chinese Invasion of Taiwan? (2030)
56%
56%
Chinese Invasion of Taiwan? (2030)
30%
30%
5
1 comment
1
Israel-Gaza Conflict
condition
Khamenei Out as Leader of Iran in 2024?
if yes
if no
US Iran War Before 2025?
2%
2%
US Iran War Before 2025?
2%
2%
3
no comments
0
Conditional Cup
How many countries will become UN member states before 2075?
≥ 7
16%
4
15.5%
3
15%
5 others
5
11 comments
11
Will there be a military conflict between Serbia and Kosovo before January 1, 2024?
Resolved :
No
5
12 comments
12
Load more