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When will at least 10 countries formally recognize Somaliland as an independent state?
2046-02-27
4
6 comments
6
Verity
Explainable AI and Trust Issues
8
no comments
0
Metaculus Journal
Malaria and the Historic RTS,S Vaccine
7
no comments
0
Metaculus Journal
Will three of the listed countries ratify an agreement to form the East African Federation before 2030?
8%
11
37 comments
37
Forecasting Our World in Data: The Next 100 Years
26
10 comments
10
Research
Will the following countries experience a civil war before 2036?
Sudan
Yes
Niger
65%
Democratic Republic of Congo
60%
52 others
29
208 comments
208
Which of these nations will experience a successful coup d'etat before 2040?
Haiti
70%
Mali
68%
Libya
60%
70 others
19
59 comments
59
Will an East African Federation exist and govern before 2040?
24%
3
17 comments
17
Will a 2-hour marathon be run in 2017?
Resolved :
No
6
7 comments
7
How many total confirmed cases of novel coronavirus will be reported in the WHO African region by March 27?
Resolved :
2.42k
11
20 comments
20
Li Wenliang Forecasting Tournament
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