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Will a 2-hour marathon be run in 2017?

resultNo

How many total confirmed cases of novel coronavirus will be reported in the WHO African region by March 27?

result2419

When will at least 10 countries formally recognize Somaliland as an independent state?

Dec 2043

Explainable AI and Trust Issues

8
no comments0
Metaculus Journal Archives

Malaria and the Historic RTS,S Vaccine

7
no comments0
Metaculus Journal Archives

Will three of the listed countries ratify an agreement to form the East African Federation before 2030?

7%chance

East Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022?

Ugandaresult: No
Djiboutiresult: No
Kenyaresult: No
and 4 others

Who will win the 2022 Kenyan Presidential election?

Raila Odingaresult: No
William Rutoresult: Yes
David Waihiga Mwaureresult: No
and 1 other

Forecasting Our World in Data: The Next 100 Years

26
8 comments8

Will the OpenAI Tour 2023 plan to visit more than one African destination as of April 10th?

resultNo