Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Feed Home
🤖🔭
AI Benchmarking
🇺🇸
2024 US Election Hub
Topics
🗳️
US Elections
✨🔝
Top Questions
⏳🌀
5 Years After AGI
🦠🩺
Mpox outbreak
🕊️🌐
Global Elections
🇮🇱🇵🇸
Gaza Conflict
🐦🦠
H5N1 Bird Flu
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
categories
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
🧬
Health & Pandemics
🌎
Environment & Climate
☣️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
Will any of the 20 most valuable public companies in the United States (As of January 2019) file for bankruptcy protection before 2025?
5%
23
23 comments
23
When will the first fully automated McDonalds open in the United States?
2029-11-10
19
22 comments
22
Will 10% or more of the top 20 biggest companies in early 2023 still be in the top 20 in 2050?
58%
7
7 comments
7
condition
Will there be a Run on the Banks before 2031?
if yes
if no
One Top 20 Public Corp Bankrupt Before 2025
60%
60%
One Top 20 Public Corp Bankrupt Before 2025
6%
6%
-1
no comments
0
Will "stagflation" occur in the United States before 2026, as measured by the "misery index" reaching 10 or more for at least three consecutive months?
16%
2
4 comments
4
Economic Indicators
Will Chase Bank send a notice to customers about updates to its security protocols, referencing the threat of social engineering attacks that can be attributed to LLMs, before 2024?
Resolved :
No
7
6 comments
6
Public Perception of AI
Will the KBW Bank Index record at least a 33% drop from January 3, 2023 levels before May 1, 2023?
Resolved :
No
5
20 comments
20