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Will any of the 20 most valuable public companies in the United States (As of January 2019) file for bankruptcy protection before 2025?
5%
23
23 comments
23
Will 10% or more of the top 20 biggest companies in early 2023 still be in the top 20 in 2050?
58%
7
7 comments
7
condition
Will there be a Run on the Banks before 2031?
if yes
if no
One Top 20 Public Corp Bankrupt Before 2025
60%
60%
One Top 20 Public Corp Bankrupt Before 2025
6%
6%
-1
no comments
0
Update: the variants vs. the vaccines
no comments
0
Research
The new variants and the next phase of the pandemic
no comments
0
Research
In the year ending in November 2nd, 2020, will the combined U.S. investment in psychedelics research and psychedelics-focused startups exceed $100M?
Resolved :
No
11
8 comments
8
Foresight 2020 Contest
How many COVID-19 vaccines will be approved by the U.S. FDA as of 30 June 2021?
Resolved :
3
15
34 comments
34
Economist 2021
What will be the absolute efficacy of the single-dose Johnson & Johnson Ad26.COV2.S vaccine candidate according to the results of Phase III testing?
Resolved :
54.6
5
6 comments
6
When will the single-dose Johnson & Johnson SARS-CoV-2 vaccine be granted emergency use authorization by the US FDA?
Resolved :
Feb 27, 2021
2
10 comments
10
Will the single-dose Johnson & Johnson SARS-CoV-2 vaccine be issued an emergency use authorization by the US FDA within a week after the 26 February VRBPAC meeting?
Resolved :
Yes
13
23 comments
23
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