Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Feed Home
🤖🔭
AI Benchmarking
🇺🇸
2024 US Election Hub
Topics
🗳️
US Elections
✨🔝
Top Questions
⏳🌀
5 Years After AGI
🦠🩺
Mpox outbreak
🕊️🌐
Global Elections
🇮🇱🇵🇸
Gaza Conflict
🐦🦠
H5N1 Bird Flu
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
categories
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
🧬
Health & Pandemics
🌎
Environment & Climate
☣️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
Will any Member State leave the Eurozone before 2025?
1%
19
18 comments
18
Will any top 10 global meat processor/producer go bankrupt before 2028?
21%
7
3 comments
3
Alt-Protein Tournament Round 1
When will Stripe go public?
2025-05-15
8
8 comments
8
Will any Member State leave the Eurozone before 2030?
10%
7
11 comments
11
Will data centres consume more than 10% of global electricity usage for the year 2030?
38%
7
8 comments
8
Will Ireland and Northern Ireland reunite before the following years?
2051
50%
2041
36%
2031
5%
7
8 comments
8
When will the following countries have open borders with all Schengen Area members?
Turkey
Jan 11, 2035
Ukraine
Jan 11, 2035
Georgia
Jan 11, 2035
15 others
3
1 comment
1
Forecasting Civil Wars in the Modern World
2
no comments
0
Metaculus Journal
When will countries making up a combined share of global GDP of 50% or more have a carbon tax?
2035-12-02
2
4 comments
4
Will Ireland's referendum to repeal the Eighth Amendment pass?
Resolved :
Yes
8
4 comments
4
IARPA 2018 Global Forecasting Challenge
Load more