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Will any country that had nuclear weapons on July 1, 2017 give them up before 2035?
2%
20
9 comments
9
Will there be a major nuclear accident before 2030?
20%
45
62 comments
62
Will a non-state actor have acquired a nuclear weapon from a state by 2030?
2%
6
1 comment
1
Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
What percentage of Russia's electricity generation will come from nuclear power in 2030?
24.6
1
no comments
0
Autocrat Public Figures Series
What percentage of Russia's electricity generation will come from nuclear power in 2050?
26.4
3
1 comment
1
Autocrat Public Figures Series
Will a new nuclear-armed state emerge before 2030?
50%
5
12 comments
12
Will Ukraine launch a nuclear weapons program before 2026?
1%
4
106 comments
106
Will an international AI regulatory agency, like IAEA, for oversight of transformative AI systems be established before 2030?
59%
13
4 comments
4
Future of AI
condition
2024 US Presidential Election Winner? (Donald Trump)
if yes
if no
New Nuclear-Armed State by 2030?
60%
60%
New Nuclear-Armed State by 2030?
40%
40%
2
8 comments
8
Will there be a serious radiation incident at any nuclear plant in Ukraine before 2025?
2%
5
7 comments
7
ACX 2024 Prediction Contest
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