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What will the necessary computational power to replicate human mental capability turn out to be?
1.6e17
41
43 comments
43
Will the mean year-over-year growth rate of the sum of teraflops in the TOP500 decline each 3-year period from 2025 to 2034?
47%
5
no comments
0
When will global IPv4 traffic account for less than 1% of total internet traffic?
2045-06-15
12
12 comments
12
Meet Metaculus Developer Partner Ought
12
2 comments
2
Metaculus Meta
When will at least a zettabyte of digital information be destroyed as the result of a single event?
2071-04-08
7
13 comments
13
When will we know whether the Shannon capacity of a 7-cycle is equal to the Theta function of the 7-cycle?
2089-01-08
1
7 comments
7
When will there be a proof (or disproof) that P=BPP?
2071-06-30
4
3 comments
3
Is the Shannon Capacity of the 7-cycle equal to its Theta function?
54%
2
6 comments
6
Does P equal BPP?
80%
5
1 comment
1
When will a language model be developed that, when tested, yields approximately human-level output?
2024-06-05
14
8 comments
8
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