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ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature

Will over 70% of internet traffic be encrypted by 2017?

resultNo

Seeing single photons: more research to come?

resultYes

When will the first 49+ qubit universal quantum computer be constructed?

Ambiguous

Will quantum computing "supremacy” be achieved by 2025?

resultYes

Will cost-adjusted IT technology be worse than it was 8 years (32 quarters) ago in at least one quarter prior to 2030?

This question is closed for forecasting. Latest Community prediction is displayed.

22%chance

What will the necessary computational power to replicate human mental capability turn out to be?

1.7×10¹⁷
FLOPS

Will the mean year-over-year growth rate of the sum of teraflops in the TOP500 decline each 3-year period from 2025 to 2034?

47.2%chance

Hutter Prize: At the end of 2022, what will be the best bits-per-character compression of a 1GB sample of Wikipedia?

result0.922824

When will global IPv4 traffic account for less than 1% of total internet traffic?

Jun 2047

Amplified forecasting: What will Buck's informed prediction of compute used in the largest ML training run before 2030 be?

Ambiguous