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What will be Hungary's children per woman in the year 2031?
1.64
7
11 comments
11
Most likely way(s) a nuclear war involving hundreds of detonations could end up occurring by 2050?
1
no comments
0
Szilard Fortified Essay Contest
A public prediction by The Economist
no comments
0
The Economist
A public prediction by Scott Alexander
1
no comments
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Scott Alexander
A public prediction by Matthew Yglesias
1
no comments
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Matthew Yglesias
Scott Alexander's 2022 Predictions
15
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2022 Scott Alexander predictions
Will Hungary leave the EU before 2030?
5%
11
19 comments
19
Which countries will be the subject of NATO action under Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty, if NATO takes Article 5 action before 2040?
United States
33.4%
Latvia
32%
Poland
30%
9 others
8
8 comments
8
Will the following countries experience a civil war before 2036?
Sudan
Yes
Niger
65%
Democratic Republic of Congo
60%
52 others
29
208 comments
208
Which of these nations will experience a successful coup d'etat before 2040?
Haiti
70%
Mali
68%
Libya
60%
70 others
19
59 comments
59
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