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When will Hong Kong stop being a Special Administrative Region of China?
2046-12-30
16
24 comments
24
What proportion of the 20 largest Chinese corporations' revenue will be state-owned in 2035?
85.7
9
17 comments
17
Will the People's Republic of China control at least half of Taiwan before 2050?
32%
104
199 comments
199
The Taiwan Tinderbox
Will any top 10 global meat processor/producer go bankrupt before 2028?
21%
7
3 comments
3
Alt-Protein Tournament Round 1
When will China first successfully land people on Mars?
2047-09-22
11
3 comments
3
What will be the value of the Hang Seng Index on January 1st 2030?
25.6k
no comments
0
Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the following years?
2035
28%
2030
20%
2025
1%
69
338 comments
338
The Taiwan Tinderbox
Will any country have a Total Fertility Rate below 0.5 before 2053?
73%
18
50 comments
50
If at least one frontier AI model has been trained by a Chinese firm before 2025, will a Chinese frontier AI model have been trained using US cloud compute?
20%
3
1 comment
1
Chinese AI Chips
condition
China Disavows Force in Taiwan Reunification?
if yes
if no
Chinese Invasion of Taiwan? (2035)
25%
25%
Chinese Invasion of Taiwan? (2035)
30%
30%
1
4 comments
4
The Taiwan Tinderbox
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