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Will state-based conflict between Israel and Iran cause at least 1,000 deaths before 2025?
12%
22
63 comments
63
Israel-Gaza Conflict
Will there be a non-test nuclear detonation in Iran before 2025?
1%
5
7 comments
7
Israel-Gaza Conflict
Will the US and Iran be primary actors on opposite sides of a war before 2025?
2%
12
23 comments
23
Israel-Gaza Conflict
condition
US Iran War Before 2025?
if yes
if no
Chinese Invasion of Taiwan? (2030)
56%
56%
Chinese Invasion of Taiwan? (2030)
30%
30%
5
1 comment
1
Israel-Gaza Conflict
condition
US Iran War Before 2025?
if yes
if no
Russia Expanded Territory in Ukraine in 2026?
38%
38%
Russia Expanded Territory in Ukraine in 2026?
22%
22%
1
no comments
0
Israel-Gaza Conflict
Will there be ≥ 100 deaths due to conflict between Israel and Hezbollah before 2030?
Resolved :
Yes
30
155 comments
155
Israel-Gaza Conflict
Will Israel carry out and explicitly acknowledge a deadly attack on Iran before 2024?
Resolved :
No
11
21 comments
21
Israel-Gaza Conflict
Before 2024, will the US government state that Iran likely helped Hamas plan the October 7 attack on Israel?
Resolved :
No
8
4 comments
4
Israel-Gaza Conflict
Will there be 400 or more deaths due to armed conflict between Israel and Hezbollah before 2024?
Resolved :
No
10
33 comments
33
Israel-Gaza Conflict