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When will Haiti become an upper middle-income country?
2050-01-01
8
44 comments
44
How many people will die as a result of the most deadly earthquake from 2020 - 2029?
74.3k
13
10 comments
10
How many UN member states will formally recognize Taiwan at the end of 2025?
11.7
5
13 comments
13
Will the following countries experience a civil war before 2036?
Sudan
Yes
Niger
65%
Democratic Republic of Congo
60%
52 others
29
208 comments
208
Which of these nations will experience a successful coup d'etat before 2040?
Haiti
70%
Mali
68%
Libya
60%
70 others
19
59 comments
59
Forecasting Civil Wars in the Modern World
2
no comments
0
Metaculus Journal
Forecast Factors: Drivers of Interstate Wars in the Modern World
9
9 comments
9
Metaculus Journal
Winners of the Q1 2024 Quarterly Cup
7
7 comments
7
🏆 Q1 2024 Quarterly Cup 🏆
How many total confirmed cases of novel coronavirus will be reported in the WHO Region of the Americas by March 27?
Resolved :
38.2M
6
17 comments
17
Li Wenliang Forecasting Tournament
Horizon Scan: How many people will be forcibly displaced in these countries in 2022?
Azerbaijan
2.07M
Haiti
1.03M
Sri Lanka
2.29M
4 others
10
7 comments
7
Humanitarian Conflict & Economic Risk
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