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Will any Member State leave the Eurozone before 2025?

resultNo

Will there be a terrorist attack in an OECD founding member state causing more than 3 deaths between November 3rd 2020 and up until March 1st 2021?

resultNo

What will the maximum z-score be for Greece for observed deaths in 2020-2021 according to Euromomo?

result8.59

Will there be a 7.0 or larger earthquake either somewhere under or within 81 Kilometres the Eastern Mediterranean Sea in 2021?

resultNo

In 2021 will the European Commission suspend all EU mink farming, including breeding, and all in-country and cross-border transportation of live mink and their raw pelts?

resultNo

Will any Member State leave the Eurozone before 2030?

9%chance

Will certain marble statues removed from Greece in the early 19th century be moved back before 2024?

resultNo

Will the following countries experience a civil war before 2036?

Sudanresult: Yes
Niger67%
Haiti62%
and 52 others

Which bid will be selected to host the 2030 FIFA World Cup?

Spain-Portugal-Moroccoresult: Yes
Uruguay-Argentina-Chile-Paraguayresult: No
Greece-Saudi Arabiaresult: No
and 2 others

Will an armed conflict between Greece and/or Turkey and/or Cyprus cause 1,000 or more deaths before 2035?

3.2%chance