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Will any Member State leave the Eurozone before 2025?
1%
19
18 comments
18
Will any Member State leave the Eurozone before 2030?
10%
7
11 comments
11
Will the following countries experience a civil war before 2036?
Sudan
Yes
Niger
65%
Democratic Republic of Congo
60%
52 others
29
208 comments
208
Which bid will be selected to host the 2030 FIFA World Cup?
Spain-Portugal-Morocco
99%
Uruguay-Argentina-Chile-Paraguay
3.31%
Spain-Portugal-Ukraine-Morocco
1%
2 others
3
6 comments
6
Will an armed conflict between Greece and/or Turkey and/or Cyprus cause 1,000 or more deaths before 2035?
3%
7
12 comments
12
Which of these nations will experience a successful coup d'etat before 2040?
Haiti
70%
Mali
68%
Libya
60%
70 others
19
59 comments
59
Forecasting Civil Wars in the Modern World
2
no comments
0
Metaculus Journal
Forecast Factors: Drivers of Interstate Wars in the Modern World
9
9 comments
9
Metaculus Journal
Will there be a terrorist attack in an OECD founding member state causing more than 3 deaths between November 3rd 2020 and up until March 1st 2021?
Resolved :
No
5
94 comments
94
20/20 Insight Forecasting Contest
What will the maximum z-score be for Greece for observed deaths in 2020-2021 according to Euromomo?
Resolved :
8.59
5
4 comments
4
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