Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Feed Home
🤖🔭
AI Benchmarking
🇺🇸
2024 US Election Hub
Topics
🗳️
US Elections
✨🔝
Top Questions
⏳🌀
5 Years After AGI
🦠🩺
Mpox outbreak
🕊️🌐
Global Elections
🇮🇱🇵🇸
Gaza Conflict
🐦🦠
H5N1 Bird Flu
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
categories
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
🧬
Health & Pandemics
🌎
Environment & Climate
☣️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
"Foot Voting" Coordination Efforts
17
6 comments
6
When will the following countries have open borders with all Schengen Area members?
Turkey
Jan 11, 2035
Ukraine
Jan 11, 2035
Georgia
Jan 11, 2035
15 others
3
1 comment
1
Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states?
Iowa
98%
Alaska
98%
Ohio
96%
20 others
36
249 comments
249
If at least one US state secedes before 2071, which states will secede?
Texas
49%
California
33.3%
Florida
23.6%
47 others
8
30 comments
30
If Donald Trump is incarcerated or put under house arrest for over 30 days before 2030, what date will his confinement begin?
2025-12-15
8
16 comments
16
Will a second US state adopt a unicameral legislature before January 1, 2050?
29%
6
4 comments
4
What will be the national kindergarten measles vaccination rate in the US for the 2029-2030 school year?
91.8
2
5 comments
5
Respiratory Outlook 2023/24
Will Nebraska legally allocate its electoral votes on a winner-take-all basis in the 2024 presidential election?
5%
4
9 comments
9
Which jurisdiction will be the "Tipping Point" in the 2024 US presidential election?
Pennsylvania
35.7%
Wisconsin
15%
Michigan
14%
10 others
7
26 comments
26
Will there be any faithless electors in the 2016 U.S. Electoral College?
Resolved :
Yes
2
10 comments
10
Load more