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When will there be a breakthrough in the treatment of hard-to-treat cancers?

Feb 2031

When will it become possible to transplant organs without the recipient needing immunosuppressant drugs?

25 Jan 2030

Will wheat be successfully de-allergenized by 2030?

42%chance

Will tirzepatide be approved for the treatment of obesity by the FDA or EMA before 2025?

resultYes

When will the FDA or EMA first approve a drug for the treatment of obesity that causes >25% weight loss?

07 Dec 2028

The Path to Controlling Cancer

8
1 comment1
Metaculus Journal Archives

The Promise and Impact of the Next Generation of Weight Loss Drugs

19
1 comment1
Metaculus Journal Archives

What will be the global annual death rate (per 100,000 people) from infectious disease in the following years?