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Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to an artificial intelligence failure-mode?
35%
38
40 comments
40
Ragnarök Series
Will Metaculus predict that artificial intelligence continues to pose a global catastrophic risk by 2040?
83%
19
17 comments
17
Ragnarök Question Series: if an artificial intelligence catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?
65%
19
13 comments
13
Ragnarök Series
Will Any Major AI Company Commit to an AI Windfall Clause by 2025?
4%
16
10 comments
10
Business of AI
AI Safety ∩ AI/DL Research
10
7 comments
7
AI Progress Essay Contest
Will "slaughterbots" kill at least 50 people outside a military conflict by 2035?
66%
20
23 comments
23
AI Safety
AI Pathways Report
17
no comments
0
Research
How many months after a Western actor trains a 1e26 FLOP model (~5x GPT-4) will a Chinese actor do so?
11.5
7
4 comments
4
AI in China
Will the EU AI Act implement regulations on foundation models?
99%
9
10 comments
10
Effective Institutions Project
Will Elon Musk step down as CEO of Tesla by mid-2018?
Resolved :
No
8
2 comments
2
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