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Will a prediction market outperform Nate Silver's forecasts for the Super Tuesday primaries?

resultYes

A triumph over the mite-y?

resultNo

Most useful forecastint tools/data sources

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33 comments33
Metaculus Meta

New feature: Multi-modal predictions

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19 comments19
Metaculus Meta

How does the process at Metaculus compare to the Delphi method?

8 comments8

New Solar Cycle 25 Question Series

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2 comments2

Introducing the Metaculus Journal Podcast

12
no comments0

More Is Probably More — Forecasting Accuracy and Number of Forecasters on Metaculus

23
4 comments4

Predictive Performance on Metaculus vs. Manifold Markets

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6 comments6

Analysing Individual Contributions to the Metaculus Community Prediction

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6 comments6