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How many nuclear weapons will exist on January 1, 2075?

7282
weapons

How many nuclear weapons will states possess on December 31, 2023?

result12.512k

How many deployed nuclear weapons will there be on December 31, 2023?

result3804

How many countries will increase the number of nuclear weapons they possess by at least 10% by 2024?

result2

Red Line Podcast tackles Metaculus Questions

9
2 comments2

Before 2024, will Iran possess enough fissile material to make a warhead?

Annulled

Before 2024, will North Korea possess enough fissile material to make at least 100 warheads?

resultNo

Will at least two states each increase the size of their nuclear weapons arsenals by at least 25% by 2024?

resultNo

Will more than 2,500 nuclear weapons be ready for use at short notice at the end of 2023, according to the most recent FAS estimates?

resultNo

Will China have at least 420 nuclear warheads on December 31, 2023?

resultNo