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Will there be 100 or more military conflict deaths between Ethiopia and Eritrea in 2024?
3%
9
15 comments
15
ACX 2024 Prediction Contest
Forecast Factors: Drivers of Interstate Wars in the Modern World
9
9 comments
9
Metaculus Journal
Global support and side-flipping on China's Uyghur policies in Xinjiang by 2023?
Resolved :
-28
15
20 comments
20
Will there be a bilateral cease-fire of at least 30 days in the Tigray war before 2022?
Resolved :
No
12
25 comments
25
Will there be a bilateral ceasefire of at least 30 days in the Tigray war before 2023?
Resolved :
Yes
6
18 comments
18
East Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022?
Uganda
No
Djibouti
No
Kenya
No
4 others
6
2 comments
2
Humanitarian Conflict & Economic Risk