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A public prediction by Dylan Matthews
1
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0
Dylan Matthews
Biosecurity Vulnerabilities of American Food Supply
7
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0
Metaculus Journal
Malaria and the Historic RTS,S Vaccine
7
no comments
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Metaculus Journal
Will GiveWell fund or recommend grants for the following interventions before January 1, 2027?
Community-Based Maternal and Neonatal
80%
HPV Vaccination to Prevent Cervical Cancer
70%
SMS Reminders for Vaccination
69.8%
16 others
5
5 comments
5
By the end of 2017 will a gene drive targeting malaria be initiated?
Resolved :
No
27
8 comments
8
Playing God Series
By 2017, will research definitively show Zika virus to be the direct cause of microencephaly in developing humans?
Resolved :
Yes
6
7 comments
7
Will the FDA approve GMO mosquitos for widespread release?
Resolved :
No
5
3 comments
3
Zapping Zika #1: First vaccine trials by January 2017?
Resolved :
Yes
2
8 comments
8
Zapping Zika #2: active transmission in the U.S. by August 2016?
Resolved :
Yes
2
9 comments
9
Zapping Zika #4: GMO Mosquitos in Puerto Rico?
Resolved :
No
18
8 comments
8
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